Tron (TRXUSD) has showed incredible strength short-term since May 01 up until today. Even though it broke above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) yesterday for the first time since December 17 2021, the coin remains within a long-term Triangle pattern since the April 21 2021 High.

As a result it is still best to trade the Triangle (buy low – sell high) for as long as the 1W MA100 (red trend-line) supports and the Lower Highs (top) trend-line of the Triangle resists. In order for the market sentiment to turn bullish again on the long-term, we believe that a break above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level is needed (which contained the previous Lower High). In that case we expected a new rally towards the 1.382 Fib (matched the April 2021 High) and the 1.618 Fib in extension around 0.2200 – 0.2300.

Note that the 1D CCI has been within a Channel Up since the last Triangle Higher Low. Adds to the bullish break-out case.

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