Kalshi Finds ‘Widespread Evidence’ of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
Data from Kalshi, a prediction market platform, suggests a significant surge in Republican support ahead of the U.S. elections. According to the platform, the implied probability of a Republican victory in the presidential election has risen from 35% in June to over 50% in recent weeks. Similar trends have been observed in Senate and House races, with Republicans gaining ground in key swing states and districts. While these predictions are based on market sentiment and may not reflect actual election outcomes, they indicate a strengthening of Republican momentum.
