Bitcoin’s price may be decoupling from its traditional four-year cycle as macro influences, ETF flows, and shifting on-chain dynamics reshape market timing, challenging historical patterns.
Bitcoin, Ethereum and XRP slid as traders weighed a possible end to the four-year cycle. Volatility rose, volumes swelled, and analysts cited macro headwinds and thinning liquidity across top exchanges.
Bitcoin’s momentum cools after a blistering run, but analysts cite macro easing, election-year liquidity, and post-halving supply constraints as catalysts that could ignite a breakout rally by fall 2025.
The Bitcoin halving cycle, a preprogrammed event that halves miners’ block reward every ~210,000 blocks (approximately every four years), has been a subject of extensive research due to its potential impact on Bitcoin’s price. This study aims to provide a comprehensive analysis of the relationship between the halving cycle and market implications. Through rigorous data analysis and econometric modeling, we investigate price trends, volatility, and market sentiment before, during, and after halving events. Our findings shed light on the potential implications of the halving cycle for investors, traders, and the overall cryptocurrency market. By identifying patterns and establishing statistical relationships, this study contributes to a deeper understanding of the dynamics of the Bitcoin market and provides valuable insights for informed decision-making.