January 26, 2026

Risk/Reward & probability calculation based on historical stats

Risk/Reward & probability calculation based on historical stats

Risk/Reward & probability calculation based on historical stats

Risk/Reward & probability calculation based on historical stats

Bitcoin / Tether KUCOIN:BTCUSDT
HeWhoMustNotBeNamed


Risk/Reward & probability calculation based on historical stats

There are two contracting triangles on the chart. Both broken downside. Now, lets see the historical results of trades based on contracting triangles on bearish side for BTC on daily chart


snapshot

Based on this,
Probability of price reaching 25300 before hitting 42700 is 30-33%
Risk reward for the bearish side is 0.64

Probability of price reaching 18903 before 50736 is 58-60%
Risk reward for the bearish side is again 0.65

Hence, the inverse of it will be stats for long side.

Probability of price reaching 42700 before hitting 25300 is 67-70%
Risk reward for the bullish side is 1/0.64 = 1.56

Probability of price reaching 50736 before hitting 18903 is 58-60%
Risk reward for the bullish side is 1/0.65 = 1.53

Full chart below:


snapshot

Which side you are going to chose for short term speculation 🙂

Previous Article

In 1 week everything is beautiful

Next Article

BTC to 24k?

You might be interested in …

Trading Signal For SOLUSDT Solana

Trading Signal For SOLUSDT Solana

Trading Signal For SOLUSDT Solana SOL / TetherUS BINANCE:SOLUSDT pullbacksignal Trading Setup: There is a Trading Signal to Sell in SOLUSDT Solana . Traders can open their Sell Trades NOW ⬇️Sell now or sell on […]

ETH Ethereum: 1M Chart Review

ETH Ethereum: 1M Chart Review

ETH Ethereum: 1M Chart Review ETH/USD COINBASE:ETHUSD CRYPTOPICKK Hello friends, today you can review the technical analysis idea on a 1M linear scale chart for Ethereum ( ETHUSD ). Ethereum price on a monthly chart […]

TRX/USDT TRADE SETUP! READY TO PUMP 30%!!

TRX/USDT TRADE SETUP! READY TO PUMP 30%!!

TRX/USDT TRADE SETUP! READY TO PUMP 30%!! TRON / TetherUS BINANCE:TRXUSDT CRYPTOMOJO_TA Hi guys, This is CryptoMojo, One of the most active trading view authors and fastest-growing communities. Do consider following me for the latest […]