There’s an upside for the story: there’s an upside for Ethereum on the short term. The downside is that the medium future is rather bleak. Etherium’s curve seems to be going through a classical shedding phase since a while. From a geometrical perspective, it is hard to imagine a reversal soon; on the contrary, an avalanche similar to what happened with Bitcoin a few months ago is about to come, especially due to the correlation with the macro economy which will continue to struggle for a while.

Trend curve projections show that next week is a prominent challenge to the current surge. I expect ETH to struggle a bit but then move up for a while until it reaches the upper consolidation area about 2500, the upper bound of the forming triangle. That’s when everyone would start thinking that Crypto is back and dream about the 100 million in their banks next year. Institutional traders and whales, meanwhile, will have made their millions already and will initiate selling, knowing that the current economy and the physics of the market can’t support higher levels. An avalanche would ensue until it hits a bottom around 1300, touching the lower trend somewhere in August, perhaps, after breaking away from the lower bound of the triangle.

The theory is also supported by the volume profile which confirms the levels of the Gann charts.