March 4, 2026

Grok 4.20 model tops prediction leaderboards with 35% returns

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xAI has officially released the Grok 4.20 model, which has quickly risen to the top of various AI prediction leaderboards. It achieved #1 position on Alpha Arena, with a notable 35% return in just 10 days, and also dominated PredictionArena’s real-money prediction markets. Grok 4.20 is closing in on the accuracy levels of elite human superforecasters, demonstrating significant advancements in forecasting capabilities compared to earlier versions.

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