February 19, 2026

BTC USD Volatility 02 June 2022

BTC USD Volatility 02 June 2022

BTC USD Volatility 02 June 2022

BTC USD Volatility 02 June 2022

Bitcoin all time history index INDEX:BTCUSD
exlux99


BTC USD Volatility 02 June 2022

BTC USD Volatility 02 June 2022
The current percentile of BTC is around 28.77%.
The current implied volatility is around 76.12 -> which translates into a daily movement of 3.98%
At the same time, this translates in an aproximate +-1200$ movement

For this we can assume close to 80% probability of efficiency based on the last years data.

Based on this our channel for today is going to be, assuming the opening price is 29800
TOP 29800 + 1192 ~= 31000
BOT 29800 – 1192 ~= 28600
This strategy is perfectly suited for an iron condor

At the same for those that are looking for entry points in case they want to go long call/put or a reverse iron condor,
instead of normal iron condor we can make use of next data:
Based on the last years, we can expect that the asset is going to move more than 1% which translates into a +- 300$ movements.
And this comes with a 70-75% probability based on the last years.

TOP 29800 + 300 ~= 30100 => as an entry point for long where we can use the opening price as a stop loss
BOT 29800 – 300 ~= 29500 => as an entry point for short where we can use the opening price as a stop loss


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