Figuring out a trend shouldn’t be too complicated with all the indicators and calculations and so forth . Sometimes you need to get rid of all that noise and look at things clearly. I just did that on this chart to see $BTC’s long-term trend. I used 91-day EMA , because it’s exactly 1/4 a year (or 3 months or 13 weeks), but you can try with any long-enough-term period; 60, 150, 300 etc., it doesn’t matter. They all give the same conclusions:

1. Long-term moving average has historically been a very reliable and accurate indicator of $BTC price trend. See how it consistently acted as support/resistance .
2. $BTC is now above the long-term EMA and holding up there.
3. Perhaps most important, the long-term moving average (91d EMA in our case, but really go ahead and try with any number or calculation) has recently started going up again !

Now this is BIG! Of course there is always a chance the price fails to hold this level and resumes its downward movement. Or the trend -and the chart- is fucked up by some big news. Well, that’s the risk we are taking so that we can gain 🙂

BUT IF IT HOLDS UP -and we have the signals that it can-, then you need to work your imagination a little bit to anticipate how that EMA line might curve :))

Greed is bad for investing, but it seems we are at a time even the greedy can benefit from.

Sharing this to help non-professionals who need clarity and inspiration, and money 🙂 And also to watch together how this unfolds. I’m not a professional either but I have some experience 🙂 Please always tread carefully as if you are walking around in an unfamiliar territory. Hope this helps someone.