January 22, 2026

BTC going up or going down?

BTC going up or going down?

BTC going up or going down?

BTC going up or going down?

Bitcoin / US Dollar (calculated by TradingView) BINANCE:BTCUSD
kenloi


BTC going up or going down?

3day chart – small pattern currently a bearish rising wedge setup with 2 days left to close.
key to close above 40 ,792 for potential upside towards wedge resistance.

larger pattern, potential h&s with a neckline towards lower 3d demand 31,900.

potential diamond pattern as well for upside reversal towards golden pocket. few untested 3d supply above and finally a monthly supply 56K

previous thought about 3 drives still seems valid to me if this diamond reverses to the upside. never textbook in crypto but i’ve tracked more than a handful of this harmonic
where the retracements overshoots and reaches the target to the dot + downside retrace.

bull case – reclaim golden pocket + diamond reversal – target monthly supply 57k/73K – 49K 3 drives retracement.

bear case – h&s breakdown and retests lower 3d and monthly demand down to 28K possible.

monthly demand – 37,150
3d demand – 39,442
daily demand – 38,891

daily supply – 42,870
4hr supply 40 ,792

golden pocket 43,488-44,758

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