This chart I think is better at showing the final leg of this zig zag down to 12k..

Your clues if you chose to be realistic:

dxy has already risen enough to prove another 83% correction on btc is coming, like every other halving,

hash ribbons has still NOT capitulated without a single day in red even though we’ve had a drop from 69k

Dollar will only get stronger over next few months as ‘good’ job reports give feds room to continue to increase rates.. and will probably surprise us during one of these rakes with bigger than expected (probably wave 3 in june