I have made numerous analysis on multiple time-frames comparing the April 2021 – April 2022 Cycle to that of July 2019 – September 2020. This time I am adding one more element on the 1W time-frame: The Fibonacci retracement levels.

As you see, Bitcoin ( BTCUSD ) is currently trading within the 0.382 – 0.618 Fibonacci retracement levels with the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) supporting. The 1W RSI has broken above its MA since the March 14 1W candle, which signaled the bullish break-out above the 1D MA50 and the end of the 3 month consolidation phase at the bottom of the correction since the November 2021 High.

That is a very similar position Bitcoin had in early May 2020 i.e. trading within 0.382 – 0.618 Fib with the 1D in support and the 1W RSI above its MA. What followed was roughly a 4 month slow rise of Higher Highs and Higher Lows first within Fib 0.382 – 0.618 and then 0.618 – 0.786.

What does this mean for us now? This suggests that if Bitcoin manages to hold the 0.382 Fib as Support and consolidate, it is more likely to see a Higher High to 55k (0.785 Fib roughly) and then by the end of Q3 a test of the All Time High.

Do you expect it to hold? Feel free to share your work and let me know in the comments section below!

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