Augur v2 & Eccentric Betting Odds for Hillary Clinton
Wacky Odds for Hillary Clinton
Interest in odds for Hillary to win the Democratic nomination has recently been piqued, having spiked to as high as .10/share in early October, before falling back to .05/share.
Remember, folks, Hillary Clinton is not currently in the running for the nomination.
Some have posited that the bet size limitations which platforms such as PredictIt impose, coupled with exorbitant fees, have distorted the odds.
Curiously enough, several days later, Hillary’s odds spiked again, this time as high as .11/share. This would place her in the top three or four hopefuls for the nomination, again without an official announcement.
What’s causing this phenomenon? is HRC preparing another run?
Probably not. The spikes seem to correlate with an October 1st speculative bounce around public appearance on The View and another on an October 8th response to a DJT tweet:
2020 Election Betting Roundup
Following last week’s runup in the Donald Trump first-term impeachment market, odds have plateaued to the low .70s range. This has held despite presidential-hopeful Joe Biden now joining in on the impeachment chorus, as well as a second intelligence official whistleblower coming forward in the alleged pressuring of Ukrainian President Zelensky by Trump into investigating Joe’s son, Hunter’s Ukrainian energy dealings.
Biden, in other news, has maintained a sizeable deficit, currently .27/share, to leader Elizabeth Warren in the 2020 Democratic nomination markets. In the same market, Bernie Sanders’ odds have tanked in the wake of his heart attack/hospitalization (get well Bern!).
On the 2020 Presidential election market front, DJT’s lead over Warren has recently ebbed and flowed, currently sitting at a .06 spread of .40/share vs .34/share.
As a reminder, come Q1 2020, Augur will be the no-brainer platform for political betting with unbeatable odds, the lowest fees, and the tightest spreads. Get started trading!
Published at Fri, 11 Oct 2019 17:07:03 +0000
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