If you are reading my forecasts for the first time, then first read the next section to understand how to work with this article. If you are already familiar with my work, feel free to skip the section “How to read my analysis”
How to read my analysis.
My analysis consists of modelling the candles of the current period on a monthly, weekly and daily TF thanks to the tools of Thomas . The projection of candles is built with an assessment of the differential directions, which give an understanding of the market mood of the candle. The projection is built on smaller Timeframes – a monthly and weekly candle on a daily TF. A daily candle at a 15-minute TF, so that you can evaluate the dynamics of prices within the projection.
To do this, thanks to all the same differential arrows, one of the three scenarios is determined as a priority: bull/sideways/bearish.
The highest priority scenario is highlighted by bold arrows, the second-highest priority by thin arrows. The least priority is not indicated by arrows, only the direction vector is specified, which defines the boundaries of the trading range.
In the analysis, I make an assessment of the past movement. I analyze trends in the three main TFs and talk about priority scenarios, while always noting the key levels of changing market sentiment and transition from one scenario to another.
If the priority is the side scenario (grey arrows), then I do not recommend entering the market on this day for intraday trading. If the scenario is or , then I suggest using opposite key levels, levels + trading limits for targets. For the level of fixing the loss, you need to focus on the key level at which there will be a change to the opposite scenario.
Dear Friends, I remind you that in this article I express my personal view of the market, which I share with you for educational purposes. I do not guarantee profits. Only you make the final investment decision and all the risks associated with it.
Continuing intraday forecasts.
Bitcoin was in a strong movement yesterday. He managed to break through the upper boundary of the and break the , which promised a reversal and a strong fall. Bitcoin was able to close the day above 8600 and gain a foothold above this key level. In general, this impulse was expected and passed according to the horn.
Trend by TF for today:
Week – bear
Day – bull
4 hours – bull
BTCUSD today, from the very opening, began with a small pullback. The differential arrows of Thomas look at growth through correction. A breakdown by trends also indicates a high reversal potential. The most likely scenario today is sideways. The market is already overheating and it is very difficult to storm 9000 without preliminary accumulation. (see grey arrows)
Estimated limits of the trading range for today:
top trading range for today – 9100 USD
lower trading range for today –8300 USD
for bulls – 8400
for bears – 7950
The probability of an exit above 9100 within the current week is extremely small. With a high degree of probability, after reaching the upper limit of the projection of the candle, we will see a correction.
The global scenario for 2020 remains unchanged, but due to the prolonged consolidation at current levels, the bears have less room for manoeuvre, so the immediate goal will be around 7800.
The nearest target for bears 7800 – 7400.
The most likely goal for the end of the year is 13,000 USD.
Good luck and good profits!
Subscribe to my channels in telegrams, instagram and patreon! Always happy to hear your comments!
Thank you very much for your support 🙏🙏🙏
Dear Friends, I remind you that this is only my personal view of the market, which I share with you. I do not guarantee profits. Only you make the final decision and all the risks associated with it.
Published at Wed, 15 Jan 2020 01:47:38 +0000